Le recensement italien de la population en 2011
Discutant : Jean-François Royer (CREST). Conférence en anglais.
A population and housing census is taken in Italy every ten
years since 1861. Last census was taken in 2001, based on the
conventional methodology of complete field enumeration. Census
forms were delivered and collected by enumerators and self-filled
in by respondents, and all information was collected and processed
on a complete basis. Among the main goals of census enumeration are
the determination of the legal population (i.e. the population
usually resident in private and conventional households), the
collection of information on the main demographic and
socio-economic characteristics, the comparison between census data
and the municipal population registers (/Anagrafi/). Indeed, the
law on population registers (/Regolamento Anagrafico/) establishes
the update of population registers on the basis of census results.
Furthermore, the municipalities (/communes/) are in charge of the
field-work and, in most cases, contribute with their own financial
resources to the state allocated budget. The planning of next
census has taken into consideration the need of reducing the
municipalities workload and the burden on respondents by making a
larger use of administrative data, traditionally used by
municipalities during the enumeration phase with coverage
improvement purposes (/register improved/ census). In the new
strategy, a /register assisted/ census will instead be implemented,
by means of questionnaires’ /mail out /to the households registered
into the municipal population archives. Self-completed
questionnaires will then be collected by a mixed mode system which
will include /mail back/, Internet and, finally, intervention on
late respondents by enumerators. Two questionnaires will be used: a
/short form/ for collecting some basic demographic variables and a
/long form/, to be filled in by a sample of households, including
the basic questions plus all the other socio-economic questions.
Two alternative ways have been considered in order to enumerate
population not included in registers but actually residing in the
municipality:
1) a labour intensive intervention by enumerators at every dwelling
where a usually resident person is expected to be found on the
basis of auxiliary sources; 2) a sample control survey to be
carried out during the standard data collection phase, with the
purpose of estimating the number of units missed by the
administrative archives by means of a /capture-recapture/analysis.
Both approaches have pros and cons. The new strategy is conceived
as a set of modules, to be applied flexibly according to the size
of the municipality. In the paper a description of the main
innovations will be provided, and the main challenges for the
census itself and, more generally, for the statistical system will
be discussed.